Croatia vs Portugal: betting odds 18 Nov 2024

Matchday 6 of the Nations League between Croatia and Portugal in Group 1 of League A will take place on November 18 at the Poljud Stadium in Split. Croatia vs. Portugal: prediction and betting odds, statistics.


Referee: Davide Massa (Italy)

 

Matches – 15 (International matches, 2023–2024);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 57;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 20;

Penalties – 13%.

Predicted lineups for Croatia vs. Portugal

Croatia (4-2-3-1): Dominik Kotarski – Josko Gvardiol, Duje Caleta-Car, Josip Sutalo, Kristijan Jakic – Mateo Kovacic, Luka Modric – Petar Sucic, Martin Baturina, Luka Sucic – Andrej Kramaric.


Portugal (4-3-3): Diogo Costa – Nuno Mendes, Antonio Silva, Diogo Dalot, Renato Veiga – Bruno Fernandes, Joao Neves, Bernardo Silva – Rafael Leao, Pedro Neto, Cristiano Ronaldo.


Each team's starting lineup for their previous match in this tournament is listed.

Croatia

The Balkans suffered a 0-1 away defeat to Scotland in the last round. As a result, Croatia lost the chance to win Group 1, and their participation in the playoffs is now in doubt. To advance to the final stage of the Nations League, Zlatko Dalic's team needs to earn points in the upcoming match. If Croatia loses to Portugal and Scotland beats Poland in the other group match, both teams will have 7 points. The second-place finisher will be determined by additional criteria: goal difference, then the number of goals scored, and finally, the total number of away wins.


Midfielder Petar Sucic will miss the match due to suspension.

 

  • Croatia has not lost in 90 minutes in 10 of their last 12 Nations League matches (6 wins and 4 draws).
  • The number "1" appeared in the final scoreline during regular time in 9 of Croatia's last 12 games in this tournament.
  • The team has not lost at home in their last four Nations League matches (3 wins and 1 draw).

Portugal

Portugal easily and confidently won Group 1. In the last round, they thrashed Poland 5-1 at home, collecting 13 points after five group stage matches. The team achieved 4 wins and one goalless draw with Scotland. It's also worth noting that Roberto Martinez's side scored 12 goals. Only Italy matched this tally in League A.


Midfielder Bruno Fernandes will not play due to an accumulation of yellow cards.


  • Portugal has played 23 Nations League matches and suffered only three defeats (15 wins and 5 draws).
  • At least three goals were scored in 4 of Portugal's last 5 Nations League matches.
  • The team has not lost in 9 of their last 10 away Nations League matches (5 wins and 4 draws).

Croatia vs. Portugal: Match Prediction

In the upcoming match, bookmakers slightly favor the visitors. However, Portugal no longer has tournament motivation, so I believe the hosts can achieve the result they need – at least not lose. With league matches just days away, Portugal's players are unlikely to give their all. Moreover, Roberto Martinez is more interested in evaluating backup players and promising youngsters.


Croatia will field their main squad. It's crucial for them to earn at least one point to reach the final stage of the tournament. It's worth noting that the Balkans have a strong home record. In their last nine official matches, Croatia has lost only once (5 wins and 3 draws).


My prediction – "Croatia to win or draw"

Croatia — Portugal betting tips 18 Nov 2024

In the final matches of the group stage, the Croatia national team fell behind Portugal but have secured a spot in the Nations League playoffs. Despite being the visitors, the Portuguese are the favourites for the return leg. They are in excellent form, while their opponents have frequently faltered defensively.

Following a draw with Poland (3:3), Croatia allowed Portugal to maintain a three-point lead, and their defeat to Scotland (0:1) resulted in Portugal winning the group. In Glasgow, Croatia were unlucky with Luka Sučić’s sending-off before halftime—the British capitalised on their only dangerous moment in the late stages. In addition to the Dinamo Zagreb midfielder, Croatia will also miss Andrej Kramarić in the sixth round due to an accumulation of yellow cards.

Portugal’s somewhat underwhelming Euro 2024 performance and their elimination from the quarter-finals against France (0:1 after penalties)—have motivated them in the Nations League group stage. They've only failed to score away against Scotland (0:0) and dominated at home against Poland (5:1), where Cristiano Ronaldo showcased his skills with a bicycle kick goal. The legendary forward leads the Nations League scorers’ chart with 5+1, while Bruno Fernandes (2+2) and Rafael Leão (1+2) have also contributed significantly.

In the first-round meeting, Portugal gained an early advantage over Croatia (2:1). It's likely that the favourites will again be closer to victory in Split, as Croatia are worn out from a challenging tournament.

Betting prediction
Portugal (0)
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Nations League: previous matches in the tournament

Croatia
15.11.24
Scotland
Croatia
L
15.10.24
Poland
Croatia
D
12.10.24
Croatia
Scotland
W
08.09.24
Croatia
Poland
W
05.09.24
Portugal
Croatia
L
More matches
Portugal
15.11.24
Portugal
Poland
W
15.10.24
Scotland
Portugal
D
12.10.24
Poland
Portugal
W
08.09.24
Portugal
Scotland
W
05.09.24
Portugal
Croatia
W
More matches

H2H: Croatia — Portugal

Nations League 2024-2025
05.09.24
Portugal
Croatia
Friendlies 2024
08.06.24
Portugal
Croatia
Nations League 2020-2021
17.11.20
Croatia
Portugal
05.09.20
Portugal
Croatia
Friendlies 2018
06.09.18
Portugal
Croatia
UEFA Euro 2020 qualifying 2016
25.06.16
Croatia
Portugal
0
:
0
0
:
1
OT
Friendlies 2013
10.06.13
Croatia
Portugal
0
:
1
Friendlies 2005
12.11.05
Portugal
Croatia
2
:
0

Group stage

League A. Group 1
Team
Played
Matches played
W
D
L
Goals
Goals
Points
Points
1
Portugal
  2:1 2:1 5:1 5 4 1 0
12:4
13
2
Croatia
-:-   2:1 1:0 5 2 1 2
7:7
7
3
Scotland
0:0 1:0   2:3 5 1 1 3
5:7
4
4
Poland
1:3 3:3 -:-   5 1 1 3
8:14
4

Team lineups

Croatia

Zlatko Dalić
coach
Player Matches Goals
In squad
Dominik Livaković
gk. 61 -65
Ivica Ivusic
gk. 6 -4
Dominik Kotarski
gk. 2 -2
Nediljko Labrović
gk. 2 -1
Joško Gvardiol
df. 38 2
Duje Ćaleta-Car
df. 28 1
Borna Sosa
df. 25 2
Josip Šutalo
df. 22 0
Marin Pongračić
df. 11 0
Luka Modrić
mf. 183 27
Ivan Perišić
mf. 139 33
Mateo Kovačić
mf. 107 5
Mario Pašalić
mf. 70 10
Nikola Vlašić
mf. 57 8
Luka Sučić
mf. 15 0
Martin Baturina
mf. 8 1
Nikola Moro
mf. 1 0
Andrej Kramarić
fw. 101 30
Marko Pjaca
fw. 28 1
Ante Budimir
fw. 27 3
Mislav Oršić
fw. 27 2
Marco Pašalić
fw. 6 1
Igor Matanović
fw. 4 1
Portugal

Roberto Martinez
coach
Player Matches Goals
In squad
Diogo Costa
gk. 32 -22
José Sá
gk. 2 -2
Rui Silva
gk. 1 0
João Cancelo
df. 59 10
Nélson Semedo
df. 39 0
Nuno Alexandre Tavares Mendes
df. 32 0
Diogo Dalot
df. 26 3
António João Pereira de Albuquerque Tavares da Silva
df. 17 0
Renato Palma Veiga
df. 2 0
Nuno Tavares
df. 1 0
Tiago Djalo
df. 0 0
Tomás Lemos Araújo
df. 0 0
Vitinha
mf. 24 0
Otavio
mf. 21 3
João Pedro Gonçalves Neves
mf. 12 0
Trincão
mf. 9 0
Samú Costa
mf. 2 0
João Félix
fw. 44 8
Rafael Leão
fw. 36 5
Francisco Conceição
fw. 7 1
Fábio Silva
fw. 0 0
Geovany Tcherno Quenda
fw. 0 0
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